Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 114.132180 131.908773 153.001110 180.293325 215.317400 259.701331 3.218381e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 89.813041 110.911782 138.667674 179.271132 239.872489 332.220617 4.963755e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 77.305977 99.518511 130.755911 180.477098 263.484510 410.534017 7.372603e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 67.035923 88.665411 120.461824 174.122153 271.365590 465.406584 9.914899e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 62.666495 85.284862 120.153518 182.952266 308.206051 598.562291 1.648278e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 56.459503 78.155263 112.576771 177.135379 314.201961 667.094163 2.278555e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 52.611291 74.137140 109.344879 178.349740 335.542759 794.626382 3.706807e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 48.782037 69.674392 104.651178 175.605722 346.735179 904.143689 5.890699e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 47.803849 69.718489 107.770559 189.360203 405.920094 1266.982815 1.973922e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 47.925559 71.583713 114.439929 212.653437 507.237819 2075.113317 1.383694e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.271783 68.325845 110.874198 211.366299 530.861152 2521.438616 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 43.093091 65.706869 108.223068 211.744782 561.512602 3172.375056 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.266710 61.935091 103.326520 206.822081 576.188315 3876.687509 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.003887 59.040167 99.965976 205.526947 608.078597 5202.360563 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.222547 56.864077 97.805710 206.998994 655.463043 7702.092623 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 33.944821 53.555540 92.816143 199.249496 653.014052 9231.590553 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.198348 53.101338 93.984607 210.024348 761.945543 21372.524344 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 31.343185 50.342601 89.676816 202.920696 760.911964 28478.765218 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 30.189917 48.877114 88.152197 204.401890 819.224526 65003.370079 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 28.850781 46.945731 85.344122 201.056283 842.732039 138611.346967 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 28.715070 47.410761 88.210044 217.874784 1051.904040 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.049321 48.860286 93.682706 246.626693 1471.829138 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 27.984696 47.303178 91.438785 245.029283 1559.028147 NaN NaN